My second article for a school paper on economics and market mechanisms.
Will post an update on the markets tomorrow.
Website link:
http://www.insidermediagroup.com/features/hft-attack-on-efficient-markets
PDF version:
http://www.insidermediagroup.com/features/hft-attack-on-efficient-markets.pdf
Trading thoughts and ideas
Analysis of a wide range of stock, commodities and FOREX charts.
Specialized in gold and silver small-mid cap mining companies.
Saturday, December 18, 2010
Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Elliott Wave S&P 500
My attempt at a count of the S&P 500.
Interesting thing about Elliott wave is it is Fractal
Below is the Mandelbrot set, the most famous Fractal pattern.
I plan on studying Fractal math just to get a better understanding on the dynamics of a pattern.
From this website
These are my targets and the first one is around 1260.71
4 hour Chart
Hourly Chart
I think the 1300 mark makes the most sense at this point, as it is in the area of a Fib and it is psychological. Also wave 1 = wave 5 equity is around 1292.70 which again is close to the 1300 mark. W1 = W5 for time is about February 28th, 2011.
If this count is correct, the implication is that the 5 wave impulse from the lows in July will end. This will lead to a correction. At a minimum (38.2% retracement) the S&P 500 should fall to 1192.50 level, and the 61.8% retracement will be 1123 level.
I will keep updating this count as an experiment with Elliot wave. Would like to learn more about it and judge how effective it can be.
Interesting thing about Elliott wave is it is Fractal
Below is the Mandelbrot set, the most famous Fractal pattern.
I plan on studying Fractal math just to get a better understanding on the dynamics of a pattern.
From this website
These are my targets and the first one is around 1260.71
4 hour Chart
Hourly Chart
I think the 1300 mark makes the most sense at this point, as it is in the area of a Fib and it is psychological. Also wave 1 = wave 5 equity is around 1292.70 which again is close to the 1300 mark. W1 = W5 for time is about February 28th, 2011.
If this count is correct, the implication is that the 5 wave impulse from the lows in July will end. This will lead to a correction. At a minimum (38.2% retracement) the S&P 500 should fall to 1192.50 level, and the 61.8% retracement will be 1123 level.
I will keep updating this count as an experiment with Elliot wave. Would like to learn more about it and judge how effective it can be.
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