Market Scheming

Sunday, July 3, 2011

Is oil looking to make a run? Weekly Chart Analysis




Support looking like it might have been found last week at the 50 Moving week average, confirmation with another week to the upside would be a strong indicator of a momentum shift.

This momentum shift is occurring with the MACD trying to flatten out above the 0 level.  Typically long term momentum is dictated by the MACD line value +/-.

A momentum change is even more likely because the commodity is in oversold territory.   If, however, the slow stochatics stays below the 20 level for a couple of more weeks, strong sell pressure is likely going to occur.

A closer look at this past months reversal.




If the oil instabilities get worst (ie another oil producer cutting shipments) prices could get to 125 by summers end.



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