Market Scheming

Tuesday, January 11, 2011

AUD/JPY falls in evening trading, Volume check on markets


After 5 pm, the AUD/JPY tumbled.  The  Jan 11th candle will change over the course of day.
This move has completed a lower low, in the pair.  The purple line is part of a Andrew's Pitchfork, as seen below.

This purple line is quite important, and if broken could lead to a trend change.



Volume Watch


Above is a 15min chart for FAZ, covering this chart because I am expecting some upside movement this week.  The volume has become a lot more bullish and heavier compared to previous days.  I have mentioned that the last few minutes of trading sometimes is a good indicator of the next day's price action. 

This type of volume distribution can be seen on the bear side of SPY and other indexes.  I believe there is potential for a desperation run, before the US markets correct appropriately.

Have a look at the VIX, the "fear" indicator measures the volatility.

The pop in the morning was above 8% before selling off again.  Look like a bull flag, so expect tomorrow to continue up.  This would drive stock markets down.

Also notice that the VIX broke above a key resistance level of 18.30.  Tread carefully.


Euro zone is destabilizing again,


Portugal has to go to the debt market Wednesday, last auction was around 7% for 10 year bond which is not sustainable without additional ECB / IMF support.
Japan is helping out with Euro Debt

No comments:

Post a Comment